Caracterización del estado actual de la generación de seguridad en la región caribe colombiana

Security Generation (SG) is defined by CREG 015 of 2018 as the imposed generation required to supply the restrictions of the National Interconnected System (SIN) and operational areas, these restrictions are associated to the assets that make use of the SIN, regional interconnection and local distri...

Full description

Autores:
Figueredo Barrios, Kineereth Juliana
Simmonds Mendoza, Armando Javier
Tipo de recurso:
Trabajo de grado de pregrado
Fecha de publicación:
2020
Institución:
Corporación Universidad de la Costa
Repositorio:
REDICUC - Repositorio CUC
Idioma:
spa
OAI Identifier:
oai:repositorio.cuc.edu.co:11323/8951
Acceso en línea:
https://hdl.handle.net/11323/8951
https://repositorio.cuc.edu.co/
Palabra clave:
Security generation
Grid constraints
ARIMA
Forecasting
Generación de seguridad
Restricciones de la red
Pronóstico
Rights
openAccess
License
Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International
Description
Summary:Security Generation (SG) is defined by CREG 015 of 2018 as the imposed generation required to supply the restrictions of the National Interconnected System (SIN) and operational areas, these restrictions are associated to the assets that make use of the SIN, regional interconnection and local distribution, which are classified as technical and operational restrictions (Resolución CREG 015 del 2018, 2018). Currently, different methods are used to forecast the SG that may be presented in the future taking into account the restrictions presented by the distribution networks with the purpose of creating alternatives to reduce the charges caused by the same. Based on the above, the objective of this work is to propose a prioritization scheme for the projects of the national expansion plan 2019 - 2032 to have an impact on the reduction of SG in the Caribbean Region of Colombia. Initially, a sweep was made of the technical and operational guidelines of Security Generation, the regulations in force to date were consulted, the generation forecast models were identified, as well as the studies aimed at the Security Generation forecast taking into account the restrictions in the network. Then, data was downloaded from XM's website from 2018 to 2020 in order to carry out a Security Generation forecast using ARIMA models As a result, a new linear model is obtained. The Colombian Caribbean Region was considered as a case study. Finally, the generation and transmission projects proposed by the UPME were identified, with the purpose of prioritizing those that can contribute the most to the reduction of Safety Generation in the Colombian Caribbean Region.